Barisan Nasional will still be in power even if PAS won the state seat of Kuala Besut, Terengganu:

Barisan Nasional will still be in power even if PAS won the state seat of Kuala Besut, Terengganu:

Analysis

-          In an impossible situation (maybe not), PAS won the DUN Kuala Besut seat from BN a by-election will be held.

-          If that were to happen, the state seat of Terengganu for BN and PR is 16 to 16.

-          In that particular situation, the state laws dictates that the decision making vote will be at the hands of the House Speaker (already chosen among BN state representative).

-          This means, UMNO will still be in power, even if PAS won the Kuala Besut by election.

-          The state legislative assembly will be on hold if both sides of the elected representative are the same number and this can only happen if it is before the oath taking ceremony.

-          It is stated as such, when both sides have the same amount of seat, the Speaker shall be appointed by anonymous vote and the person who gets the highest amount of votes shall be appointed as the house speaker.

-          Looking at the current situation, the Speaker for Terengganu State Legislative Assembly is Datuk Zubir Embong, the BN candidate who lost the seat in the Kuala Terengganu Parliament.

-          The house would not be on hold as all of the representatives have already taken their oath and the speaker has already been appointed before any seats were considered vacant.

-          Professor Dr Aziz Bari’s states that IF PAS were to win in Kuala Besut, the Sultan of Terengganu may have a say on which party can be the government. This can only happen when the speaker is not yet appointed.

-          Now, the speaker has already been appointed and if in the aftermath of this by-election the same amount of seats for both parties is achieved the Speaker shall have the deciding vote. Logically, the speaker was appointed among UMNO leaders, and as the one who have the deciding vote, he is inclined to give it to Barisan Nasional.

-          If BN were able to retain its seat in Kuala Besut (BN will retain it), the state seat will be 18 Barisan Nasional and 15 opposition – the difference of 3 seats.

-          It is impossible for PAS to take away 2,424 majority votes that was won previously by Barisan Nasional.

-          There are no clues if the opposition will start to meddle on sensitive issue to sway the 2000 votes to them.

-          The opposition can only dream of taking the Kuala Besut constituency as it is an impossible task to achieve.