Friday, May 3, 2013

GE13: UUM, professors council poll shows BN to win, 58% support for Najib

The outlook is bright for Barisan Nasional to remain in power under the leadership of Prime Minister Datuk Seri Najib Tun Razak, who appears to have the support of the majority of voters.
According to a GE13 opinion poll conducted by the Institute of Malaysian Political Analysis of Universiti Utara Malaysia (UUM) and the National Professors Council (MPN), 58% of the respondents supported Najib as prime minister with opposition leader Datuk Seri Anwar Ibrahim receiving 42%.
As for the preferred party, Barisan received 55% support, Pakatan Rakyat 41% while the remaining four per cent went to the Independents.
According to the survey, Najib received the nod from 57.6% of the respondents aged 30 and below while the remaining chose Anwar.
The biggest support for Najib came from cohorts aged 30 to 50, at 59.1%. Those aged above 50 who favour Najib made up 57.2%.
The poll was conducted via phone involving 3,550 eligible voters, including Sabah and Sarawak, using the random stratified sampling method with a 0.022 margin of error.
In terms of racial breakdown, 63.5% of the Malay respondents supported Najib, Chinese 35.3%, Indians 52.7% and others 63.1%.
Najib received 60.6% of the support from female voters and 56.6% from male voters, according to the poll conducted from April 28 to 30 during the second week of the GE13 campaign.
Based on the survey, Barisan is also expected to retain Johor, Malacca, Negri Sembilan, Perak, Perlis, Terengganu, Pahang, Sabah and Sarawak.
With the rather high level of support for Barisan in the central, north and east zones, the coalition also has a good chance to recapture Selangor and Kedah and to give the opposition pact a very tough fight in Penang and Kelantan.
The survey found that 72% of the respondents in the south zone comprising Johor, Malacca and Negri Sembilan supported Najib as prime minister with also 72% stating they would vote for Barisan and 28% for PR.
Barisan is seen as having the edge in the central zone - Federal Territories (Kuala Lumpur and Putrajaya), Selangor and Perak - with 53% stating their support for Najib and the rest for Anwar.
In the north zone comprising Perlis, Kedah and Penang, support for Najib was at 55%.
As for the party of choice, Barisan received the bigger percentage in the central and north zones at 48 and 53 per cent respectively compared to that for PR and Independents.
In the peninsula's East Coast states of Kelantan, Terengganu and Pahang, it was 55% support for Najib and 51% for Barisan, and 45% for Anwar and 38% for PR.
In Sabah and Sarawak, support for Najib was at 65% and at 62% for Barisan.
Overall, although PR is giving Barisan a stiff fight in their obsession to capture Putrajaya, Barisan is still expected to win comfortably in the GE13.

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